Still in search of bowl victory number 1. Here are two quick picks to get you to Christmas:
Poinsettia Bowl: Utah +2.5
Hawaii Bowl: Nevada -12.5
Wednesday, December 23, 2009
Tuesday, December 22, 2009
Breaking the Bowl Shutout
We're primed for our first bowl victory of the season and we couldn't be in a better position to get it. We've been singing the praises of Oregon State for more than two months. They are a dangerous, dangerous team. In the two months since we started highlighting the Beavers, the rest of the country has seen the magic that this team possesses. They came within a whisker of playing in the Rose Bowl. We think BYU is also a very good football team but this is not a good match up for them.
Maaco Las Vegas Bowl (Las Vegas, NV):
BYU Cougars vs. Oregon State Beavers - Line is Oregon State -2.5 - OSU is such a fast team that they are going to make this a nightmare for the solid but not overly athletic Cougars. The Rodgers brothers in particular should have a field day in this game. BYU will score because QB Max Hall is very good. However, OSU will score more, by a bunch. One key angle that is not being mentioned is that Mormons don't like Vegas, they don't belong in Vegas and they may very well get overwhelmed by Vegas. I don't think that the boys from Oregon State will have that problem. Look for a high scoring game that is won relatively handily by the Beavers. Take OSU -2.5. 48-34. LOCK IT UP
Maaco Las Vegas Bowl (Las Vegas, NV):
BYU Cougars vs. Oregon State Beavers - Line is Oregon State -2.5 - OSU is such a fast team that they are going to make this a nightmare for the solid but not overly athletic Cougars. The Rodgers brothers in particular should have a field day in this game. BYU will score because QB Max Hall is very good. However, OSU will score more, by a bunch. One key angle that is not being mentioned is that Mormons don't like Vegas, they don't belong in Vegas and they may very well get overwhelmed by Vegas. I don't think that the boys from Oregon State will have that problem. Look for a high scoring game that is won relatively handily by the Beavers. Take OSU -2.5. 48-34. LOCK IT UP
Monday, December 21, 2009
College Bowl Ineptitude and MNF
We're off to a confidence-inspiring 0-3 start in bowl season. Not to worry. That just means we have a monster hot streak lurking right around the corner.
By the way, there is a MNF game this evening with major playoff implications for the Big Blue Wrecking Crew. Washington is suddenly a sexy "sleeper" team and the line here is only Giants -2.5. Last I checked, Jason Campbell was still the Skins' QB, Jim Zorn still was the head coach, the Bingo Guy was still calling plays, and some hump named Ganther was their RB. This is the Giants' season. They will win by at least a FG. Take the GMen -2.5. Giants win 27-21. LOCK IT UP!
By the way, there is a MNF game this evening with major playoff implications for the Big Blue Wrecking Crew. Washington is suddenly a sexy "sleeper" team and the line here is only Giants -2.5. Last I checked, Jason Campbell was still the Skins' QB, Jim Zorn still was the head coach, the Bingo Guy was still calling plays, and some hump named Ganther was their RB. This is the Giants' season. They will win by at least a FG. Take the GMen -2.5. Giants win 27-21. LOCK IT UP!
Sunday, December 20, 2009
Still in Search of 1st Bowl W, Plus NFL Picks
New Orleans Bowl (New Orleans, LA):
Middle Tennessee State vs. Southern Mississippi - Line is So Miss -3.5 - Not much analysis here. We like Southern Miss here. Better team. How is that for analysis. Buy .5 points to get it -3. 27-21 Southern Miss. LOCK IT UP
NFL Picks:
Packers +2.5 vs. Steelers
Dolphins +5 vs. Titans
Patriots -7 vs. Bills
Cardinals -14 vs. Lions
Falcons +6 vs. Jets
Browns +2.5 vs. Chiefs
Texans -14 vs. Rams
Niners +7.5 vs. Eagles
Bears +11 vs. Ravens
Bengals +7 vs. Chargers
Broncos -14 vs. Raiders
Seahawks -6.5 vs. Bucs
Vikings -9 vs. Panthers
Middle Tennessee State vs. Southern Mississippi - Line is So Miss -3.5 - Not much analysis here. We like Southern Miss here. Better team. How is that for analysis. Buy .5 points to get it -3. 27-21 Southern Miss. LOCK IT UP
NFL Picks:
Packers +2.5 vs. Steelers
Dolphins +5 vs. Titans
Patriots -7 vs. Bills
Cardinals -14 vs. Lions
Falcons +6 vs. Jets
Browns +2.5 vs. Chiefs
Texans -14 vs. Rams
Niners +7.5 vs. Eagles
Bears +11 vs. Ravens
Bengals +7 vs. Chargers
Broncos -14 vs. Raiders
Seahawks -6.5 vs. Bucs
Vikings -9 vs. Panthers
Friday, December 18, 2009
Let's Go Bowling
One of the best subsections of extended sports gambling each year, along with the horse racing triple crown and the NCAA basketball tournament, is college bowl season. And today, we find ourselves on the eve of the kickoff of this season's very first two bowl. As fans and gamblers, we spend August-December painstakingly analyzing all D-1 football teams, assessing strengths and weaknesses, identifying trends, breaking down matchups, developing crushes on players, and so on and so on. And for what? Well, to make some money along the way, of course. But more importantly, to have a leg up come bowl season. How can you not feel a bit confident this time of year when you look back and realize you've committed 370 hours and $1,756 of you time and money to college football in the past 18 weeks? We know these teams. These teams are who we think they are. And so now, we embark on the most noble and glorious of quests: the seemingly unattainable perfect bowl season!
The New Mexico Bowl (Albuquerque, NM):
Wyoming vs. Fresno State - Line is Fresno State - 11 - It feels as if the Bowl Gods are lobbing us a meatball right out of the gate. In our minds, these teams are not even remotely comparable. Fresno State features the nation's leading rusher in Ryan Matthews, while Wyoming sports the lowest Sagarin computer ranking of any bowl team (99th in the country). The Cowboys come in with a 6-6 record having been outscored by 124 by its opponents this season. Fresno State on the other hand come in having won 7 of their last 8 games and having scored more than twice as many points as Wyoming during the season. This game doesn't look close on paper and will be even more lopsided on the field. Look to Matthews to turn some heads in this game as the junior kicks off a long shot 2010 Heisman campaign with a monster effort against the Cowboys. We'll happily lay the points. Take the Fresno State Bulldogs -11. Final score is 44-17. LOCK IT UP
St. Petersburg Bowl (St. Petersburg, FL):
Central Florida vs. Rutgers - Line is Rutgers -2.5 - The Skarlet Ladies have killed the Locks all season long. We started as big backers and watch Cincy dismantle them in the season opener. Then, with a monster 7-team teaser hanging in the balance, the Ladies mailed one in against our lowly. Greg Paulus at QB lowly, Syracuse Orange. Needless to say, we're a bit gun shy when it comes to this team. And there is nothing about this match up that makes us feel good. This is a virtual home game for the Knights of Central Florida. The crowd should be largely supportive of UCF and there will be no travel-related issues for the Knights. Somewhat surprisingly, UCF also sports one of the nation's best rush defense. The defense also includes two monster pass rushers who look to take advantage of a leaky Rutgers offensive line and a still relatively green freshman QB. Rutgers does has an impressive recent history in bowl games (looking for its fourth straight win) and features a very dynamic, though under-the-radar, playmaker in Mohamed Sanu. Regardless, we think there are a few too many hurdles for the ladies to overcome in this one. We're calling the first upset - albeit a minor one - of the bowl season. Take Central Florida +2.5 in a game they win outright, 27-24. LOCK IT UP.
The New Mexico Bowl (Albuquerque, NM):
Wyoming vs. Fresno State - Line is Fresno State - 11 - It feels as if the Bowl Gods are lobbing us a meatball right out of the gate. In our minds, these teams are not even remotely comparable. Fresno State features the nation's leading rusher in Ryan Matthews, while Wyoming sports the lowest Sagarin computer ranking of any bowl team (99th in the country). The Cowboys come in with a 6-6 record having been outscored by 124 by its opponents this season. Fresno State on the other hand come in having won 7 of their last 8 games and having scored more than twice as many points as Wyoming during the season. This game doesn't look close on paper and will be even more lopsided on the field. Look to Matthews to turn some heads in this game as the junior kicks off a long shot 2010 Heisman campaign with a monster effort against the Cowboys. We'll happily lay the points. Take the Fresno State Bulldogs -11. Final score is 44-17. LOCK IT UP
St. Petersburg Bowl (St. Petersburg, FL):
Central Florida vs. Rutgers - Line is Rutgers -2.5 - The Skarlet Ladies have killed the Locks all season long. We started as big backers and watch Cincy dismantle them in the season opener. Then, with a monster 7-team teaser hanging in the balance, the Ladies mailed one in against our lowly. Greg Paulus at QB lowly, Syracuse Orange. Needless to say, we're a bit gun shy when it comes to this team. And there is nothing about this match up that makes us feel good. This is a virtual home game for the Knights of Central Florida. The crowd should be largely supportive of UCF and there will be no travel-related issues for the Knights. Somewhat surprisingly, UCF also sports one of the nation's best rush defense. The defense also includes two monster pass rushers who look to take advantage of a leaky Rutgers offensive line and a still relatively green freshman QB. Rutgers does has an impressive recent history in bowl games (looking for its fourth straight win) and features a very dynamic, though under-the-radar, playmaker in Mohamed Sanu. Regardless, we think there are a few too many hurdles for the ladies to overcome in this one. We're calling the first upset - albeit a minor one - of the bowl season. Take Central Florida +2.5 in a game they win outright, 27-24. LOCK IT UP.
Thursday, December 17, 2009
Thursday Night Football
Week 15 of the NFL kicks off tonight with one of the two remaining undefeated teams on the road for a heated divisional battle. That's right, the Colts look to go to 14-0 in Jacksonville against the up and down Jags. The Colts claim that they are going to continue to play starters for the majority of the game, so no worries about this wager being influenced by the likes of Mike Hart and Jim Sorgi.
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars - Line is Colts -3.5 - The battles between the Colts and Jags have been notoriously hard fought, close games. The Jags certainly get up for the Colts and view these games as important measuring sticks for where they stand in the division and the league. This will be further compounded by the fact that this is a primetime, Thursday night game. Unfortunately, that measuring stick is going to return a rather short assessment of the Jags position vis-a-vis the Colts this season. Indy hasn't lost a regular season game in well over a year and the Jags have a difficult time stringing consecutive Ws together.
The Jags D, particularly its secondary, has been banded up and playing poorly. That is never a good recipe against the Colts. Look to Peyton and the boys to move the ball with relative ease in the early going, forcing the Jags to keep up offensively. This won't play well into the Jags offensive strategy which is to bludgeon you with mini-sledgehammer MJD and then attack through the air with dump offs and short routes to the tight end. The ability, or lack thereof, of Jacksonville to gain large chunks of yards in the passing game (hello Mike Two-Last-Names) will determine if this game stays close. History suggests that it will, for at least a while.
Regardless, the Colts are playing with a horseshoe firmly logged in their rectums. This team has been pulling out mini-miracles all year. Give them the added advantage of being the most prepared team in the league - which is really big considering this is a short week for both teams.
We like the Jags to be in the hunt through midway into the 3rd quarter and then the Colts to do just enough to put this one away. We'd recommend buying half-a-point to get the line to -3 just so you have a bit of added piece of mind. Our pick is Indy -3. Final score is 34-24. LOCK IT UP
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars - Line is Colts -3.5 - The battles between the Colts and Jags have been notoriously hard fought, close games. The Jags certainly get up for the Colts and view these games as important measuring sticks for where they stand in the division and the league. This will be further compounded by the fact that this is a primetime, Thursday night game. Unfortunately, that measuring stick is going to return a rather short assessment of the Jags position vis-a-vis the Colts this season. Indy hasn't lost a regular season game in well over a year and the Jags have a difficult time stringing consecutive Ws together.
The Jags D, particularly its secondary, has been banded up and playing poorly. That is never a good recipe against the Colts. Look to Peyton and the boys to move the ball with relative ease in the early going, forcing the Jags to keep up offensively. This won't play well into the Jags offensive strategy which is to bludgeon you with mini-sledgehammer MJD and then attack through the air with dump offs and short routes to the tight end. The ability, or lack thereof, of Jacksonville to gain large chunks of yards in the passing game (hello Mike Two-Last-Names) will determine if this game stays close. History suggests that it will, for at least a while.
Regardless, the Colts are playing with a horseshoe firmly logged in their rectums. This team has been pulling out mini-miracles all year. Give them the added advantage of being the most prepared team in the league - which is really big considering this is a short week for both teams.
We like the Jags to be in the hunt through midway into the 3rd quarter and then the Colts to do just enough to put this one away. We'd recommend buying half-a-point to get the line to -3 just so you have a bit of added piece of mind. Our pick is Indy -3. Final score is 34-24. LOCK IT UP
Saturday, December 12, 2009
The Reemergence of the Mastermind
Whoa Nellie. The hiatus during which the Locks' life fell apart and then was painstakingly put back together...the hiatus that involved such unsavory events as concussions, falling off stools in strip clubs, the placement of asinine, unwinnable wagers, being asked to leave football stadiums, restaurants and public benches alike, and the abandonment of the gambling life...that hiatus has mercifully ended. We're back in time for the stretch run of the NFL season and the kickoff of college football bowl season.
We'll kick off the great revival by pulling back the curtain on week 15 of the NFL to reveal a plethora of can't lose winners:
Denver @ Indianapolis - Line is Colts -6.5 - The Locks hates the Broncos - and that was before they kicked the shit out of our NY Football Giants on Thanksgiving in a game that we flew to Denver to see in person. That said, they are playing well again and with a serious purpose. Plus, they need this game much, much, much more than the team from Indy. We're not picking the Broncos to win but we think this is a very close game, keeping with Indy's propensity of not covering lines (dating back several years). Champ Bailey will lock down Reggie Wayne and the Denver defense also shuts down Tight Ends so don't expect Dallas Clark to do much. This will force Manning to beat them with the likes of Pierre Garcon and Joey Addai. It will happen....but not by more than 6 points. Denver will try to run the ball and run the clock, ultimately losing a close game in the final two minutes. Take Denver +6.5. LOCK IT UP
Cincinnati @ Minnesota - Line is Vikings -6.5 - Here's another game that we like the favorite to win but not cover. We see this as a bit of smash-mouth type game in which the Vikings focus on getting All-Day AP back on track. The Bengals CBs are so good that they will make this more of a necessity for the Vikes as opposed to an option. Then there is the plodding offense of Cincy that last week entailed giving the ball to Ced Benson 36 times. The Bungels can't stretch the field and even though the Vikings are missing so key defenders, points will not be easy to come by. Cincinnati will keep this game closer than most expect and then fall to Minny. Take the points - Bengals +6.5. LOCK IT UP
NY Jets @ Tampa Bay - Line is Jets -3.5 - The Bucs are downright awful. Sure Josh Freeman can lead them down the field but then he feels inclined to throw pick after pick in the red zone. Caddy Williams is dinged up so even the mediocre run game looks to be on the skids. It is remarkable that the pathetic Jets would be a road favorite, but that is just how lame these half-wits from TB are. Am I backing Kellen Clemmons on the road as a favorite? You bet your 1997 Glenn Foley NY Jets jersey that I am. Thomas Jones will run wild. Take the Jets -3.5. LOCK IT UP
Buffalo @ Kansas City - Line is Bills -1.5 - Now here is another really bad team that is giving points on the road. Really? The Bills are "expected" to secure a W away from upstate NY? What is there that I don't know? Here is what I do know. They have the worst run defense in the NFL. There #1 QB to start the season is so bad that he has been benched in favor of Ryan Fitzpatrick. Yes, that Ryan Fitzpatrick. Their offensive line is so inept that they make Marshawn Lynch look like Julius Jones. Now the Chiefs are not the Saints, heck, they are not even the Chiefs of two seasons ago. However, they have some spunk. They are playing some youngsters looking to prove their worth. The team seems to be buying into Todd Haley's plan. Most importantly, they are at home and playing the Bills. We just can't lay points with Buffalo on the road. Take KC and the points (+1.5). LOCK IT UP
Green Bay @ Chicago - Line is Packers -4 - This line just doesn't make any sense to us - which probably means it is right on the number. These teams are at opposite ends of the spectrum and quickly moving even further away from each other. Sure this is a tough divisional rivalry but is there anyone who things the Bears are going to magically figure something out this weekend? The Packers D gets better each week as they get more comfortable with Dom Capers newly implemented approach. Combined that with an Aaron Rodgers who looks like one of the 3 best QBs in the league and this game doesn't feel close. The Bears cannot run the ball and they give up oodles of points. All that points to Jay Cutler needing to throw the ball a lot. And that points to several interceptions for the Packers D. We love Green Bay here. Take them and give Da Bears the points. Packers -4. LOCK IT UP
Detroit @ Baltimore - Line is Ravens -14 - Wow. This one is tough. We hate to lay this many points in any game, especially when the favorite isn't the Saints. However, a Daunte Culpepper-led Lions team has the potential to score negative points. I'm not buying the Ravens D as being back to its imposing self, but it doesn't have to be. The Locks loves Ray Rice. He will go off in this game. However, Flacco may keep this closer than we think. He's lost right now. If I could only imagine the Lions scoring some points, I'd take the dog. However, this has the potential to be a shutout. All things considered, we have to reluctantly lay the points. Take the Ravens -14. LOCK IT UP
Miami @ Jacksonville - Line is Jags -2.5 - We're a bit of a sucker for the Dolphins, especially as the season progresses. The fingerprints of Parcells are all over this team, especially the defense. They hang in every game (good or bad) and often find a way to pull off the W. The Jags are a paper tiger this season, not nearly as good as their record. They will likely be without their only legitimate receiving threat this week (MSW). That puts way too much of the burden on little MJD and Miami will be amped to bottle up the smurf. Look to Chad Henne to establish himself as a hot up-and-coming QB this week in a W that strengthens the Fins' playoff hopes. Take Miami +2.5. LOCK IT UP
Carolina @ New England - Line is Pats -13 - Yikes. The Patriots are not very good. However, Matt Moore will be leading the Panthers into Foxboro this Sunday along with a dinged up DeAngelo WIlliams. We just don't see how this game stays close at all. The Panthers will be hard pressed to get into Patriot territory at all. The big question is whether Brady will play and we don't doubt he will. This is a blow out that will be over early. Look for something in the area of 31-10. Take NE -13. LOCK IT UP
Seattle @ Houston - Line is Houston -7 - No way. Not a chance that we like Houston to cover a TD spread. They just are not winners at this point and have a RB committee comprised of Chris "Running Real Upright" Brown and Ryan Moats. Uhn Ga. Seattle is playing reasonably well of late, at least well enough to hang with the Texans. This game is terribly unappealing from a fan perspective but we think it has potential for the gambler in you. Take the points as Matt Hasselback briefly returns to his 2006-form. Seahawks +7 - LOCK IT UP
St. Louis @ Tennessee - Line is Titans -13 - Oh the Rams. If I didn't have Steven Jackson on my fantasy team I'd likely see this team for what it really is. Which is, really bad. The Titans are focused on finishing this season strong, the Rams, not so much. There is not much more to say about this one. Actually, there is: Kyle Boller. Take the Titans -13. LOCK IT UP
Washington @ Oakland - Line is Skins -1 - Not gonna waste many keystrokes on this one. Raiders will not win again this week. Skins D is underrated. Take Washington -1. LOCK IT UP
San Diego @ Dallas - Line is Cowboys -3.5 - Until the Cowboys win a meaningful game at this point in the season, the Locks can't get behind them. Does Vegas realize that they are playing the red-hot Chargers this weekend? LDT will have a breakout game now that he is back in his old TCU stomping grounds. Rivers to Gates and VJax all game long. Not only do Chargers cover, they win outright. Take the Bolts +3.5. LOCK IT UP
Philadelphia @ NY Giants - Line is Eagles -1 - Unabashed tunnel vision for Giants. Gets me in trouble all the time. Especially holidays such as Thanksgiving. Got blown out by Eagles already once this year. Manning playing on bad feet. Secondary in shambles. Feels like a Big Win for Big Blue. Take the Giants +1 to dance at the Meadowlands on Sunday night. LOCK IT UP.
We'll kick off the great revival by pulling back the curtain on week 15 of the NFL to reveal a plethora of can't lose winners:
Denver @ Indianapolis - Line is Colts -6.5 - The Locks hates the Broncos - and that was before they kicked the shit out of our NY Football Giants on Thanksgiving in a game that we flew to Denver to see in person. That said, they are playing well again and with a serious purpose. Plus, they need this game much, much, much more than the team from Indy. We're not picking the Broncos to win but we think this is a very close game, keeping with Indy's propensity of not covering lines (dating back several years). Champ Bailey will lock down Reggie Wayne and the Denver defense also shuts down Tight Ends so don't expect Dallas Clark to do much. This will force Manning to beat them with the likes of Pierre Garcon and Joey Addai. It will happen....but not by more than 6 points. Denver will try to run the ball and run the clock, ultimately losing a close game in the final two minutes. Take Denver +6.5. LOCK IT UP
Cincinnati @ Minnesota - Line is Vikings -6.5 - Here's another game that we like the favorite to win but not cover. We see this as a bit of smash-mouth type game in which the Vikings focus on getting All-Day AP back on track. The Bengals CBs are so good that they will make this more of a necessity for the Vikes as opposed to an option. Then there is the plodding offense of Cincy that last week entailed giving the ball to Ced Benson 36 times. The Bungels can't stretch the field and even though the Vikings are missing so key defenders, points will not be easy to come by. Cincinnati will keep this game closer than most expect and then fall to Minny. Take the points - Bengals +6.5. LOCK IT UP
NY Jets @ Tampa Bay - Line is Jets -3.5 - The Bucs are downright awful. Sure Josh Freeman can lead them down the field but then he feels inclined to throw pick after pick in the red zone. Caddy Williams is dinged up so even the mediocre run game looks to be on the skids. It is remarkable that the pathetic Jets would be a road favorite, but that is just how lame these half-wits from TB are. Am I backing Kellen Clemmons on the road as a favorite? You bet your 1997 Glenn Foley NY Jets jersey that I am. Thomas Jones will run wild. Take the Jets -3.5. LOCK IT UP
Buffalo @ Kansas City - Line is Bills -1.5 - Now here is another really bad team that is giving points on the road. Really? The Bills are "expected" to secure a W away from upstate NY? What is there that I don't know? Here is what I do know. They have the worst run defense in the NFL. There #1 QB to start the season is so bad that he has been benched in favor of Ryan Fitzpatrick. Yes, that Ryan Fitzpatrick. Their offensive line is so inept that they make Marshawn Lynch look like Julius Jones. Now the Chiefs are not the Saints, heck, they are not even the Chiefs of two seasons ago. However, they have some spunk. They are playing some youngsters looking to prove their worth. The team seems to be buying into Todd Haley's plan. Most importantly, they are at home and playing the Bills. We just can't lay points with Buffalo on the road. Take KC and the points (+1.5). LOCK IT UP
Green Bay @ Chicago - Line is Packers -4 - This line just doesn't make any sense to us - which probably means it is right on the number. These teams are at opposite ends of the spectrum and quickly moving even further away from each other. Sure this is a tough divisional rivalry but is there anyone who things the Bears are going to magically figure something out this weekend? The Packers D gets better each week as they get more comfortable with Dom Capers newly implemented approach. Combined that with an Aaron Rodgers who looks like one of the 3 best QBs in the league and this game doesn't feel close. The Bears cannot run the ball and they give up oodles of points. All that points to Jay Cutler needing to throw the ball a lot. And that points to several interceptions for the Packers D. We love Green Bay here. Take them and give Da Bears the points. Packers -4. LOCK IT UP
Detroit @ Baltimore - Line is Ravens -14 - Wow. This one is tough. We hate to lay this many points in any game, especially when the favorite isn't the Saints. However, a Daunte Culpepper-led Lions team has the potential to score negative points. I'm not buying the Ravens D as being back to its imposing self, but it doesn't have to be. The Locks loves Ray Rice. He will go off in this game. However, Flacco may keep this closer than we think. He's lost right now. If I could only imagine the Lions scoring some points, I'd take the dog. However, this has the potential to be a shutout. All things considered, we have to reluctantly lay the points. Take the Ravens -14. LOCK IT UP
Miami @ Jacksonville - Line is Jags -2.5 - We're a bit of a sucker for the Dolphins, especially as the season progresses. The fingerprints of Parcells are all over this team, especially the defense. They hang in every game (good or bad) and often find a way to pull off the W. The Jags are a paper tiger this season, not nearly as good as their record. They will likely be without their only legitimate receiving threat this week (MSW). That puts way too much of the burden on little MJD and Miami will be amped to bottle up the smurf. Look to Chad Henne to establish himself as a hot up-and-coming QB this week in a W that strengthens the Fins' playoff hopes. Take Miami +2.5. LOCK IT UP
Carolina @ New England - Line is Pats -13 - Yikes. The Patriots are not very good. However, Matt Moore will be leading the Panthers into Foxboro this Sunday along with a dinged up DeAngelo WIlliams. We just don't see how this game stays close at all. The Panthers will be hard pressed to get into Patriot territory at all. The big question is whether Brady will play and we don't doubt he will. This is a blow out that will be over early. Look for something in the area of 31-10. Take NE -13. LOCK IT UP
Seattle @ Houston - Line is Houston -7 - No way. Not a chance that we like Houston to cover a TD spread. They just are not winners at this point and have a RB committee comprised of Chris "Running Real Upright" Brown and Ryan Moats. Uhn Ga. Seattle is playing reasonably well of late, at least well enough to hang with the Texans. This game is terribly unappealing from a fan perspective but we think it has potential for the gambler in you. Take the points as Matt Hasselback briefly returns to his 2006-form. Seahawks +7 - LOCK IT UP
St. Louis @ Tennessee - Line is Titans -13 - Oh the Rams. If I didn't have Steven Jackson on my fantasy team I'd likely see this team for what it really is. Which is, really bad. The Titans are focused on finishing this season strong, the Rams, not so much. There is not much more to say about this one. Actually, there is: Kyle Boller. Take the Titans -13. LOCK IT UP
Washington @ Oakland - Line is Skins -1 - Not gonna waste many keystrokes on this one. Raiders will not win again this week. Skins D is underrated. Take Washington -1. LOCK IT UP
San Diego @ Dallas - Line is Cowboys -3.5 - Until the Cowboys win a meaningful game at this point in the season, the Locks can't get behind them. Does Vegas realize that they are playing the red-hot Chargers this weekend? LDT will have a breakout game now that he is back in his old TCU stomping grounds. Rivers to Gates and VJax all game long. Not only do Chargers cover, they win outright. Take the Bolts +3.5. LOCK IT UP
Philadelphia @ NY Giants - Line is Eagles -1 - Unabashed tunnel vision for Giants. Gets me in trouble all the time. Especially holidays such as Thanksgiving. Got blown out by Eagles already once this year. Manning playing on bad feet. Secondary in shambles. Feels like a Big Win for Big Blue. Take the Giants +1 to dance at the Meadowlands on Sunday night. LOCK IT UP.
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