It's that time of the season when we have a football game to bet on every night of the week. It is also that time of the season when the Locksmith has some serious work to do to salvage a successful season. What do these facts lead us to? That's right, the handicapping of a Tuesday night game between Middle Tennessee State and Arkansas State. Who cares if you don't know who these teams are, a winning wager is a winning wager:
Two Star Special:
Middle Tennessee State @ Arkansas State - Line is MTSU -2 - This is a battle between two teams in the powerhouse Sun Belt conference. A win by MTSU puts them in a tie for first place, whereas an Arkansas State victory moves them toward the top of the conference standings as well. Certainly there is enough to play for on both sides this evening. Arkansas State is a home dog which the Locks typically likes in these ESPN/ESPN2 weeknight games. Plus, Arkansas State is an impressive 6-2 against the spread this season. However, the stat that we're hanging our hat on is the fact that the favorite has covered the spread convincingly (by more than 10 points) in each of the last four meetings between these teams (regardless of whether that favorite was the home or road team). We also like the fact that MTSU is much more balanced on offense than Arkansas State and is much more successful at establishing the running game. We're going to take the favorite to cover yet again in this Sun Belt battle. We love us some Middle Tennessee State University. Final score is 30-17. LOCK IT UP
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