So two Thursdays ago we made the ill-fated decision to dust off the Locks' good ole college football betting Rule #1. We spit shined that thing, placed it on a velvet pillow and watched a line form around the block just to catch a glimpse. Unfortunately for the Locks, Rule #1 experienced less success than a wasted Joe Namath trying to slip Suzy Kolber the tongue on national television. For those of you who don't recall, and quite frankly, why would you, Rule #1 states that you always take the points and a home dog on a Thursday night ESPN game. The home crowd is in a frenzy as this is always the home team's biggest game of the year. The players on the lesser team are super amped to strut their stuff on national television. The road favorites come out a little tight and give the crowd more material to feed off of. It just always turns into a buzz saw for the visitor. They may win, but they never cover. Well almost never. See, nobody told the Pittsburgh Panthers that they were a road dog two weeks ago. Nobody told their fans they were expected to make things tough on the Miami Hurricanes. Most importantly, nobody told the Panthers' offense when the game was because they weren't there. OK, vent over.
The outcome of that Pitt-Miami game is enough to make your average man question some things about himself. Alas, the Locksmith is no average man. In fact, he is now even more determined to prove the mettle of Rule #1. Step right up Kansas State. You have been nominated to carry the torch for Absolute Locks!
Three Star Special:
Nebraska @ Kansas State - Line is Nebraska -11 - Do not get us wrong, there is no comparison between these two teams. From a talent standpoint, the Cornhuskers are on another level. They likely have the single most frightening defense in the country. They have big-time playmakers on the D Line, in the linebacking crew and the secondary. They are scary good as evidenced by their 12.8 average points against. On the other side of the ball, Bo Pelini has created an almost equally scary offense run by dual-threat freshman QB Taylor Martinez. That kid can run and run and run. And Kansas State can't stop the run, the run, the run. On paper, this has Nebraska blowout written all over it.
However, you forget that this is not about players or talent or paper. This is about Rule #1 and that means you take Kansas State and the points. The students in Manhattan (Kansas, that is) will turn this into one of the most hostile environments of the college football season. Not necessarily the place I want to be trusting a freshman QB. It only helps that KSU comes into this game undefeated - it gives the delusional fans even more reason to think this is the game of their lives. A muffed punt by Nebraska here and a redzone Cornhusker turnover there and the Wildcats will be hanging tough all the way through this contest. We don't think that Kansas State wins this game outright, but they keep it close enough to make a winner out of you if you take the points. Bet KSC +11. Final score is 27-17 Nebraska. LOCK IT UP
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