Can you believe that 103 bets into the NFL season and 69 (yes, 69) into the college season and the Locks is exactly at .500 in both categories. 33-33-3 in college and 50-50-3 in the pros. That is just ridiculous for a number of reasons, not the least of which is that we could have saved a ton of time and simply flipped a coin during the past two months. Oh well. Upward and onward.
In a week that saw us heartily back the Theorem and get rewarded with a shit sandwich, we're going to take an opportunity to poo-poo good old Rule #1 (take home dogs on Thursday night ESPN games). Yup, we're upside and turned around. The things that used to make so much sense just don't compute any longer. It's time to adapt. Zig instead of zag. Work the flip-flop.
Three Star Special:
Florida State @ North Carolina State - Line is FSU -4 - There are two key considerations that are steering us toward the Seminoles tonight. (1) Christian Ponder, who has been uncharacteristically up and down this season, had a bye week last week to get his mechanics in order. Apparently he's now throwing the ball better than Jimbo Fisher has ever seen. Ponder is the type of QB talent that can decimate a defense all on his own - especially one as questionable as the Wolfpack's. (2) Florida State leads the country in sacks - and its not close. The Seminoles have 30 and no other team is within 5 of them. When you can control the line of scrimmage in that fashion and force a somewhat mistake prone QB to make quick decisions, you have a significant advantage. QB pressure has been such a disruptive force in so many college games this season that you might be well advised to always bet on the team with the better pass rush. We know that the NC State will have the home crowd in its favor - we've tooted that horn enough this year. However, if they can't move the ball on offense because FSU is in the backfield, and if they can't slow down Ponder and his speedy receivers, there isn't going to be much to cheer about. We like Florida State to control this game throughout. Lay the points. Final score is FSU 37-23. LOCK IT UP
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