Friday, October 2, 2009

If I Told You I Had Some Locks, Is That Something You Might Be Interested In?

Unpickable Master Locks - CFL:

Houston @ UTEP - (Line is Houston -14.5) - This line seems like a joke. Granted, Houston is relatively new on the scene but there should not be any doubts after they've dispatched both Oklahoma State and Texas Tech. Look at these points scored and points against numbers for these two teams and they are eerily opposite (Houston points scored 129; points against 70: UTEP points scored 69; points against 133). Two touchdowns is not enough here. Houston is going to continue its impressive run with a thorough thrashing of UTEP. Take Houston -14.5 but buy yourself half a point to get it to -14. LOCK IT UP

Michigan @ Michigan State - (Line is Michigan State -3.5) - Here is another interesting line. For all the strides that Michigan has made this season, they are getting no respect from Vegas verses their unranked in-state rival. We're not buying it. We love Rich Rodriguez and Tate Forcier. They are both hard-core winners. Michigan will lose some games this season but this will not be one of them. This team is turning a corner and that starts with winning games it should win, like against an unranked MSU team. This one will be close but we'll take Michigan (+3.5)

Penn State @ Illinois - (Line is Penn State -7) - We've been beating up Penn State all season for receiving unwarranted 20+ point spreads that it has come close to covering. However, after last week's loss to Iowa, Vegas has swung the pendulum a bit too far against the Nittany Lions. They are much more than just a single TD better than Illinois, a team that has been outscored 84-54 in three games this season. We look to Penn State to make a big comeback statement tomorrow in Champaign. We like the Nittany Lions -7. LOCK IT UP

Other Games to Consider - CFL:

LSU @ Georgia - (Line is Georgia -3.5) - This is an unusual game in that the #4 ranked team in the entire country is an underdog. Granted, LSU is #4 more as a result of the lackluster play of other teams, but there is some talent on this squad just waiting to put it all together. We've been riding the Tigers all year and we're not going to stop now. We think this is the weekend that Les Miles gets the offense on track. The defense has not been a problem and the special teams are solid. We like LSU to win this game outright, though we'll simply take LSU +3.5. LOCK IT

Virginia Tech @ Duke - (Line is Virginia Tech -17) - This games was a total mismatch even before the Hokies reclaimed their season a week ago by drubbing Miami. Duke is not a football school, just ask Greg Paulus. Virginia Tech can shut down good teams completely, not to mention what they an do to bad ones. The defense and special teams are among the best in the country and the young offense is getting better each week. The line in this one should probably be a bit bigger. We'll take Va Tech -17. LOCK IT UP

Oklahoma @ Miami - (Line is Oklahoma -7.5) - The Sooner defense sure is impressive and it is scary to think how good this team would be if Bradford were healthy. All that said, we're expecting one pissed off Miami team to be geared up to protect their swamp after last week's loss to Va Tech. Jacory Harris will not mail in a second dud in as many weeks. Oklahoma will really have to earn its defensive stripes this week against a very fast and very talented Miami offense. This game is going to be one of the best of the week. We're excited to see it. Regardless of the winner, this game will be decided by less than a touchdown. For that reason, we're taking Miami +7.5. LOCK IT UP

Ohio State @ Indiana - (Line is OSU -17.5) - Ohio State is a better team than I thought. Their offense is pretty darn impressive. Points are not easy to come by for its opponents. The offense is also beginning to round into form as Terrell Pryor becomes more and more comfortable running the show. We give Indiana props for taking Michigan to the wire last week but let's not go overboard here. Michigan is no Ohio State and teams like Indiana don't play tremendous games in consecutive weeks. We don't expect this to be that high scoring of a game which would seem to make the 17.5 spread too big. However, when you don't give up many points, you don't have to score 40 to cover a 17.5 point line. Look for another dominating defensive effort from the Big 10's best team. We like Ohio State -17.5 but recommend buying half a point to get them -17. LOCK IT UP

Texas A&M @ Arkansas - (Over/Under is 66.5) - We don't know who is going to win this game but we do know that team is going to have to score 40 points to do so. This should be a track meet between two excellent offenses and two defenses that are often disinterested. Look for a game in the area of 45-38. We look the over (66.5). LOCK IT UP

Clemson @ Maryland - (Line is Clemson -12.5) - This is a pure play against the patheticness of the Terrapins. Maryland is plan old terrible. TERRIBLE. They've given up 153 points in four games this season. Clemson will gladly exploit this defenseless group of nerds. Clemson will control this game with its ground attack and defense. Maryland's lost season takes another turn into oblivion with this embarrassment. Take the Tigers -12.5. LOCK IT UP

Washington @ Notre Dame - (Line is Notre Dame -12) - We love Jake Locker. Notre Dame should not be a 12 point favorite over anyone at this point. Washington, mainly Locker, will manage/shorten the game and put enough points on the board to keep this one relatively close. Don't expect the Huskies to leave South Bend victorious but don't expect them to get pushed around either. Notre Dame is heading in the right directly, slowly. Vegas just seems to be a bit ahead of that progression. Take UW +12. LOCK IT UP

Kansas State @ Iowa State - (Line is Iowa State -2) - This is similar to the Maryland game in that we are picking against K-State as opposed to picking for Iowa State. The Wildcats are a seriously flawed football team. We're surprised this is not a double-digit point spread. Iowa State will treat its fans to an thoroughly dominating performance. Take the Cyclones -2 to blow away Kansas State. LOCK IT UP

No comments:

Post a Comment