Wednesday, October 14, 2009

The Theorem and MLB Round Two

We have a mid-week CFL treat this evening and the ALCS and NLCS getting ready to start. Nice opportunity for another money-making post:

Unpickable Master Lock - CFL:

Boise State @ Tulsa - Line is Boise State -9.5 - The Boise State Theorem gets put to the test on national TV. I've heard a lot of chatter this week from experts claiming that the Broncos shouldn't get any love because of their schedule and that this Tulsa test is going to be tougher than they think. You know what I say to those experts, go back to school and learn the theorem. This is the perfect Boise State Theorem game because it is one of their best opportunities to get exposure for itself with a convincing win over a relatively respectable opponent. The Broncos are going to be out for blood and when they get that blood they are going to be looking for more blood. There Will Be Blood! The Theorem Stands Tall! Take BSU -9.5. LOCK IT UP.

American and National League Championship Series Previews

Well we hit both of the AL Divisional series and whiffed on both in the NL. Let's see what the second round looks like:

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - The Phils showed me something in handling the Rockies. Especially in winning both games in Colorado which is not easy this time of year. That team, particularly the offense, is in pretty good shape right now. However, the Dodgers really showed me something in dispatching the Cardinals with such veracity. Beat Carpenter, Beat Wainwright (well at least win the game he started), Beat Pineiro. Check, check and check. This team has the look of a champion right now. Contributions up and down the lineup, an easy going approach and a solid, solid bullpen (until the suffer from TIAFO better known as "Torre-Induced Arm Fall-Off"). The starting pitching in this series is not necessarily top-tier. Cliff Lee can be hit by a good, patient line-up, Cole Hamels is lost, and we might even see Pedro. For the Dodgers, the talent is there but the results have been lacking. Kershaw should be a stopper but hasn't been. Billingsley may not even start. Randy Wolf might be the best option LA has. So it will clearly come down to the bats and bullpens in this one. We're leaning toward the Dodgers (home-field advantage and better bullpen) to pull this one off.

Prediction: Dodgers in 7
Vegas Line: -125

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim vs. New York Yankees - It is difficult to be objective about the Yankees but we'll try. It will take all 7 games for them to advance to the World Series. Seriously, as great as it was to watch Pappelbon blow that game, it would have been a much easier path through Boston than it is going to be through Anaheim. That said, this Yankee team looks fairly unstoppable. As long as they can shorten games a bit with Mariano and hopefully Hughes, they will have an advantage over the Fuentes-led Angel bullpen. Offensively, this one is a bit of a wash. Both of these teams can throw up many, many runs in a hurry. The Halos have the deeper rotation but I like Sabathia over Lackey in a battle of aces. One story to watch will be how Girardi handles the pitching staff. He's already on record leaning toward a three man rotation. Add to that the fact that he managed the bullpen like a schizophrenic in the Twins series and this could get interesting. When all is said in done, we're in the camp of this being the Yankees year. That means a memorable Game 7 win at the new stadium. This will be a great baseball series.

Prediction: Yankees in 7
Vegas Line: -180

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