Friday, September 11, 2009

College Football - Week 2 - Introducing the 3-Team, 10-Point Teaser

Following an educational week 1 in college football, the Locks is ready to get down to business and start stockpiling victories. There are a number of intriguing games this week, and many more duds - all of which represent money making opportunities. We're going to introduce our all-time favorite type of bet this week - the 3-team, 10-point tease.

Unpickable Master Locks 3-Team, 10-Point Tease:

For those unaware, this bet allows you to take three separate games, move the point spread by 10 points in either direction in each game and bet that all three games parlay style. If you lose any of the games with the adjusted point spread, you lose the entire bet. The payout on this bet is 12-10 (you bet $12 to win $10). The Locks typically likes to throw down $120 to $100 on these bets. Here is this week's special:

Florida vs. Troy (original line = Florida -36.5; move line to Florida -26.5) - The Gators will continue to roll over vastly inferior opponents until the schedule stiffens a bit. After moving this line, Florida only needs to win by 4 TDs. While that sounds like a lot, it isn't for this offense. Troy will prove pitiful on Saturday. LOCK IT UP

Texas @ Wyoming (original line = Texas -33.5; move line to Texas -23.5) - This is certainly an interesting early season road trip for the Longhorns. Wyoming isn't right around the corner. That said, the men of Wyoming should stick to ranching and leave the football to Texans. That is a lesson that will be abundantly clear on Saturday. Similar to Florida, Texas will have no troubles as they wait for a real opponent to surface on the schedule. LOCK IT UP

Oklahoma St. vs. Houston (original line = Oklahoma St. - 15.5; move line to Oklahoma St. -5.5) - Houston is starting to get a bit of buzz in this game based on the ridiculous offensive numbers this team puts up against mediocre and/or poor opposition. Oklahoma St. and its defense does not fit into either of those groups. The Locks was very impressed with the beating that the Cowboys handed Georgia on Saturday. This is going to be a team to watch out for all season long. Saturday will be another impressive defensive display. LOCK IT UP

Unpickable Master Locks - Individual Games:


USC @ Ohio State (line = USC -7) - The Trojans look like they have not skipped a beat shifting from Matt Sanchez to Matt Barkley. I think the struggles of Ohio State vs. Navy are overblown. Navy is a very good team that always presents headaches for even the best opponents. That said, this game is about how good USC is, not how bad OSU played against Navy. We expect the Trojans to have way too much fire power for Ohio State to handle. They'll run the ball at will and that will set up Barkley to make enough plays with his arm. Terrell Prior will get his yards on the ground but the USC defense will likely turn those Ohio State drives into field goals instead of TDs. We love USC (-7) in this game. LOCK IT UP

Boston College vs. Kent State (line = BC -21) - The Golden Eagles are always an underrated football team and they are especially tough in Chestnut Hill. We don't know anything about Kent State and frankly, we don't want or need to. BC will roll in this one and it will be a blowout from the opening kickoff. Get on board. BC (-21) covers with ease. LOCK IT UP

South Carolina @ Georgia (line = South Carolina +7) - Here's an upset special for our loyal followers. There are a number of things that we like about this game from South Carolina's perspective. (1) They've had more time to prepare for the game since they played last Thursday as opposed to Georgia playing at Oklahoma St on Saturday and then having to travel back home. (2) Georgia's QB is trying to play through a shoulder injury which he described as follows, "It's nerve problems caused by a muscle that protects my rotator cuff. One of the muscles that protects the rotator cuff has wasted away and that puts pressure on the rotator cuff." I'm no doctor but a muscle in the should that has wasted away? Can that be good for a QB? (3) Neither of these offenses has shown the ability to score much so this looks to be a fairly low scoring affair which typically benefits the underdog. For all those reasons, and many others, the Locks says that South Carolina not only covers the spread but wins this game outright. However, our advice is take SC (+7). LOCK IT UP

Remaining Games to Consider:

Michigan vs. Notre Dame (line = Michigan +3) - These games are always close. ND is getting to much credit for shredding a bad Nevada team. Take UM and the points.

East Carolina @ West Virginia (line = East Carolina +6.5) - The Mountaineers are still trying to figure out who they are without Pat White at QB. East Carolina is always a scrappy football team. We think ECU actually wins this one though we advise you simply take them and the points.

Utah @ San Jose State (line = Utah -13.5) - This is a heck of a start to a season for SJ State. First USC and now Utah. We don't think the result is much different from last week. SJ State just can't hang with top 25 squads. Utah will roll in this game. Take them to cover.

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